7 de Abril vs Rio de Janeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
56.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Abril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
7 - 0
CIG
59%
21%
19%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
FRI
3 - 0
CIG
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 7
PAD
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
DUQ
4 - 0
CIG
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 5
SAO
21%
21%
59%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Rio de Janeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RDJ
2 - 1
BON
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 5
RDJ
36%
22%
43%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
RDJ
1 - 1
BEL
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ADB
0 - 3
RDJ
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
RDJ
4 - 1
MAG
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |