Carioca B2 Etapas Finales Final
Global 2-2
7 de Abril vs Pérolas Negras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
61.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Abril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CEC
0 - 3
CIG
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
CIG
3 - 4
CEC
56%
21%
24%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CIG
3 - 1
MAG
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
CGA
1 - 3
CIG
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 3
BAR
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
CGA
32%
22%
46%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
CGA
1 - 1
PER
51%
23%
27%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
PER
2 - 1
CER
64%
19%
18%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PER
3 - 0
TIG
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 5
PER
14%
18%
68%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |