7 de Abril vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+131%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Abril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
TIG
0 - 2
CIG
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
CIG
1 - 0
CDA
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
CER
1 - 1
CIG
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
CIG
1 - 1
BAR
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ADC
1 - 1
MES
51%
21%
27%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
ADC
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 3
ADC
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
ADC
2 - 0
TIG
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +3 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
BOA
3 - 0
ADC
76%
16%
9%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |