Sivas Dort vs Erzincan Refahiyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sivas Dort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
4EY
1 - 1
FAT
40%
27%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TEK
1 - 0
4EY
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
4EY
1 - 1
KAN
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BER
3 - 2
4EY
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
4EY
2 - 0
PAY
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Erzincan Refahiyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ERZ
0 - 4
YEN
26%
26%
49%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
KEC
1 - 0
ERZ
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 0
BEL
18%
25%
58%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
KOC
2 - 1
ERZ
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 2
DEN
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |