Sivas Dort vs Derince Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sivas Dort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
TEK
2 - 0
4EY
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
4EY
2 - 1
PAY
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
YEN
1 - 0
4EY
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
4EY
1 - 0
EYU
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
DAR
1 - 3
4EY
40%
28%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Derince Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
DER
3 - 0
CAN
81%
14%
6%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
ERZ
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
HEA
0 - 1
DER
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
CMA
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DER
2 - 2
TEK
38%
24%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |