4 de Julho vs Timon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 2
4DE
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
FLA
0 - 3
4DE
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PIC
0 - 0
4DE
42%
25%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
4DE
1 - 1
PAR
51%
25%
25%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
PIA
1 - 1
4DE
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Timon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
ECT
3 - 1
PIA
11%
16%
73%
|
8 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
ECT
1 - 5
RIV
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
ECT
74%
16%
10%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
ECT
2 - 2
FLA
11%
17%
73%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ECT
1 - 2
PIC
8%
14%
78%
|
8 | 36 | 28 | -1 |