4 de Julho vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
51.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PIC
0 - 1
4DE
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
4DE
0 - 1
ALT
12%
19%
69%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
1 - 0
4DE
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
4DE
2 - 3
CAC
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
4DE
3 - 0
FPI
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 5 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 3
RIV
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
PIC
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 0
FPI
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
FPI
1 - 0
RIV
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |