4 de Julho vs Piauí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
4DE
1 - 1
ALT
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
4DE
5 - 0
ECT
73%
16%
10%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 2
4DE
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
FLA
0 - 3
4DE
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PIC
0 - 0
4DE
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
FLA
2 - 3
PIA
45%
25%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
ECT
3 - 1
PIA
11%
16%
73%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PIA
1 - 3
PIC
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PIA
0 - 1
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 1
PIA
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |