4 de Julho vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
4DE
1 - 3
FPI
19%
20%
61%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 3
4DE
10%
17%
73%
|
39 | 5 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
4DE
0 - 0
ALT
15%
21%
65%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
4DE
0 - 0
COR
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 1
4DE
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
CAC
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
PAR
20%
20%
59%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 3
PAR
8%
13%
79%
|
42 | 5 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
RIV
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
FPI
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |