4 de Julho vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
4DE
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 0
4DE
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PIA
0 - 0
4DE
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
4DE
2 - 1
PIC
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
4DE
2 - 2
RIV
25%
27%
48%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 2
FLA
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
CSA
4 - 0
PAR
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
CSA
17%
26%
57%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
PAR
60%
23%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 3
GLO
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |