4 de Julho vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 4
4DE
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
4DE
1 - 2
PIA
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 3
4DE
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 2
4DE
64%
22%
14%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
4DE
1 - 2
ALT
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 2
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 1
FLA
47%
26%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
ALT
19%
21%
59%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |