4 de Julho vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 3
4DE
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 1
CAI
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
4DE
63%
21%
15%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 0
4DE
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
4DE
45%
26%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 1
PAR
20%
21%
58%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
RIV
27%
27%
46%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
FLA
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 2
PAR
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
PAR
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |