4 de Julho vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 0
4DE
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
4DE
4 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 2
4DE
33%
26%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
4DE
2 - 0
MOT
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
4DE
26%
26%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
IMP
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
JCA
2 - 0
GUA
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
JCA
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
IMP
1 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
4DE
26%
26%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |