4 de Julho vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
ECT
0 - 3
4DE
12%
16%
72%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
4DE
1 - 0
PIC
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 2
4DE
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
4DE
2 - 0
PIA
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
4DE
1 - 1
ALT
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
FLA
0 - 1
RIV
25%
24%
51%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
FLA
3 - 1
ECT
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
ALT
1 - 2
FLA
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 0
FLA
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
FLA
2 - 3
PIA
45%
25%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |