4 de Julho vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 0
4DE
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
4DE
1 - 0
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PIA
3 - 1
4DE
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
4DE
1 - 1
ALT
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 2
4DE
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
ALT
4 - 2
FLA
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
FLA
2 - 1
ALT
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +3 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
FLA
0 - 2
RIV
23%
26%
51%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLA
52%
25%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
PIA
0 - 1
FLA
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |