4 de Julho vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
4DE
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
4DE
2 - 1
CAI
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
4DE
2 - 2
PIA
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
RIV
4 - 1
4DE
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
4DE
1 - 2
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
3 - 3
FLA
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 1
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 0
RIV
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 0
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |