4 de Julho vs Corí-Sabbá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
4DE
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
4DE
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 1
FPI
26%
23%
52%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AAO
1 - 1
4DE
12%
17%
71%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
4DE
5 - 0
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Corí-Sabbá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
COR
2 - 0
FLA
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
AAO
61%
20%
20%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 2
COR
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
COR
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
FPI
1 - 0
COR
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |