4 de Julho vs Corí-Sabbá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
4DE
29%
25%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 4
4DE
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
4DE
2 - 0
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COR
2 - 1
4DE
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
4DE
1 - 3
FLA
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Corí-Sabbá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
COR
0 - 2
FLA
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
FLA
26%
26%
49%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
COR
3 - 3
PIC
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COR
2 - 1
4DE
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
COR
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |