4 de Julho vs Caiçara analysis

4 de Julho Caiçara
39 ELO 20
-3.6% Tilt 7.3%
5519º General ELO ranking 19063º
250º Country ELO ranking 549º
ELO win probability
72.3%
4 de Julho
17%
Draw
10.7%
Caiçara

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
4 de Julho
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.7%
Win probability
Caiçara
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

4 de Julho
Caiçara
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

4 de Julho
4 de Julho
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2014
4DE
4 de Julho
2 - 2
Piauí
PIA
50%
25%
25%
39 39 0 0
11 Feb. 2014
RIV
Ríver
4 - 1
4 de Julho
4DE
50%
24%
26%
41 43 2 -2
01 Feb. 2014
4DE
4 de Julho
1 - 2
Corí-Sabbá
COR
65%
20%
15%
42 30 12 -1
26 Jan. 2014
BAR
Barras
3 - 0
4 de Julho
4DE
29%
25%
45%
44 36 8 -2
25 Apr. 2013
BAR
Barras
1 - 4
4 de Julho
4DE
34%
26%
41%
42 38 4 +2

Matches

Caiçara
Caiçara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2014
CAI
Caiçara
2 - 1
Corí-Sabbá
COR
24%
23%
53%
18 35 17 0
09 Feb. 2014
BAR
Barras
1 - 0
Caiçara
CAI
71%
18%
11%
18 39 21 0
02 Feb. 2014
CAI
Caiçara
0 - 7
Ríver
RIV
20%
22%
58%
19 43 24 -1
28 Jan. 2014
PIA
Piauí
3 - 0
Caiçara
CAI
76%
15%
9%
20 37 17 -1
16 Jun. 2012
CAI
Caiçara
1 - 3
Picos SE
PIC
30%
24%
46%
20 33 13 0