Ligue Champions Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
3FB Toliara vs ASA Diana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+1433%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3FB Toliara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MMA
3 - 0
3FB
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
3FB
1 - 1
ELG
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
3FB
1 - 0
INA
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
3FB
1 - 0
DAT
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 0
3FB
14%
19%
68%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Diana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 1
TFF
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FAN
2 - 0
ASS
42%
23%
36%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ASS
3 - 1
SFJ
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 0
COA
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 0
USC
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |