31 de Octubre vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
50.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
31 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1967 |
OCT
6 - 2
SFE
28%
21%
52%
|
22 | 74 | 52 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1967 |
OCT
0 - 4
RIV
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 84 | 62 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1967 |
OCT
3 - 0
RAC
21%
21%
59%
|
20 | 84 | 64 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
BOL
1 - 0
OCT
81%
11%
8%
|
20 | 73 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
BOL
1 - 1
IND
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1967 |
RIV
6 - 2
IND
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1967 |
RAC
5 - 2
IND
72%
17%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
IND
0 - 1
RIV
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
IND
0 - 2
RAC
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |