3 de Febrero vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
RPA
2 - 2
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
CAC
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
29D
3 - 4
SAN
28%
25%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
SPT
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
GEN
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
RPA
2 - 1
SPO
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
CAC
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GEN
4 - 0
SPO
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |