3 de Febrero vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
12O
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
CCP
2 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
RÑU
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 3
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |