3 de Febrero vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
AME
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 3
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
CCP
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 2
SAN
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
NAC
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
CCP
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
RÑU
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
ARS
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |