3 de Febrero vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
LQE
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
CCP
3 - 0
SAN
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
AME
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
LIB
24%
28%
49%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NAC
5 - 2
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 4
TAC
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
RÑU
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
IND
3 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |