3 de Febrero vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SPT
0 - 1
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
RÑU
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 1
SAN
64%
23%
14%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
TAC
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
AME
2 - 5
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
LQE
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
AME
0 - 3
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |