3 de Febrero vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
54.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GUA
5 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 1
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
LQE
0 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 1
SAN
74%
18%
9%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
DEP
35%
27%
39%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LIB
4 - 0
AME
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 2
LIB
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
5 - 0
GEN
76%
18%
7%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | +1 |