3 de Febrero vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
48.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 7
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 1
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
OLI
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TAC
2 - 2
SAN
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 2
LIB
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 0
LIG
52%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 2
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
LIG
1 - 0
LIB
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 2
LIB
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |