3 de Febrero vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
46%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
OLI
4 - 0
SAN
78%
16%
7%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
TAC
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
OLI
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAN
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
SAN
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
RÑU
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 4
OLI
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
LQE
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
LIB
38%
29%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |