3 de Febrero vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
55.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
OLI
30%
28%
43%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
AME
0 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 0
RÑU
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
TAC
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
LIB
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
SPC
67%
22%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 1
GUA
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
LQE
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |