3 de Febrero vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RÑU
2 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 2
CCP
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
TAC
3 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 4
OLI
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
AME
0 - 1
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 0
CCP
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
12O
60%
25%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |