3 de Febrero vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
2DE
3 - 4
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPT
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ATY
2 - 0
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
AME
3 - 3
SAN
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
FYE
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
JLM
2 - 0
FER
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
FER
0 - 1
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
RÑU
2 - 1
FER
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
SAN
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |