3 de Febrero vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
GEN
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FYE
0 - 1
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
DEP
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
CCP
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CCP
3 - 2
AME
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CCP
4 - 1
LQE
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
RÑU
0 - 3
CCP
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |