3 de Febrero vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
TAC
3 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 4
OLI
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
AME
0 - 1
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CCP
0 - 2
LQE
58%
25%
18%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
12O
1 - 1
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
LAP
1 - 2
CCP
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |