24 de Septiembre vs Torre Fuerte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+198%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
24 de Septiembre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
TFU
1 - 1
SEP
37%
22%
40%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SEP
3 - 1
BEN
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +5 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 1
SEP
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MAP
1 - 2
SEP
12%
16%
72%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SEP
4 - 1
BEN
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | +9 |
Matches
Torre Fuerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
TFU
1 - 1
SEP
37%
22%
40%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TFU
5 - 1
PAS
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 0
TFU
22%
20%
58%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
2 - 1
TFU
17%
18%
65%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TFU
3 - 2
FAN
21%
20%
58%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |