Bafraspor vs Denizli Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
60.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bafraspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
IST
2 - 0
193
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
193
0 - 2
ANA
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MEN
1 - 0
193
77%
14%
8%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
KAY
1 - 0
193
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
193
1 - 0
TUZ
13%
22%
65%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Denizli Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
DEN
1 - 1
ANA
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
KAY
0 - 1
DEN
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
DEN
3 - 3
AYV
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
DEN
1 - 0
ARS
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
TUR
0 - 2
DEN
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |