Bafraspor vs Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
59.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bafraspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
193
2 - 5
KIR
15%
21%
64%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ARS
3 - 0
193
71%
18%
12%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
193
1 - 5
YEN
15%
23%
62%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TUR
1 - 1
193
71%
18%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
193
1 - 3
KEC
17%
24%
59%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AYV
2 - 2
ARS
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TUR
0 - 0
AYV
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
AYV
3 - 1
YOG
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GOL
3 - 0
AYV
47%
25%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AYV
2 - 1
ERZ
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |