Mettlach vs Ingelheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mettlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
SAA
1 - 3
MET
71%
18%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
MET
2 - 5
IDA
33%
26%
41%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
WIR
4 - 1
MET
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
MET
1 - 1
HOM
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
WWO
2 - 3
MET
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ingelheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
ING
1 - 2
EIS
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
SAL
3 - 1
ING
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
ING
0 - 5
BNE
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
MAY
4 - 0
ING
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
ING
3 - 4
MAI
24%
25%
50%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |