1860 München vs Wormatia Worms analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.7%
12.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
MUN
1 - 0
HEI
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
HOM
2 - 0
MUN
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
MUN
1 - 3
M05
65%
20%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
VFR
2 - 1
MUN
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
MUN
1 - 1
AUG
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wormatia Worms
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
BAY
4 - 0
WWO
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
WWO
1 - 1
SCH
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
FCN
3 - 0
WWO
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1974 |
WWO
0 - 2
PIR
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
KSC
2 - 0
WWO
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |