1860 München vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1979 |
KOL
2 - 1
MUN
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
MUN
3 - 1
SAA
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
SGF
2 - 1
MUN
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
MUN
0 - 0
HOM
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
OFC
1 - 1
MUN
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 0
KFC
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
FCN
2 - 2
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
BRE
3 - 1
KAI
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
DAR
3 - 0
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
MSV
2 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |