1860 München vs Waldhof Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
HER
0 - 1
MUN
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
MUN
3 - 1
SGF
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
WWO
1 - 3
MUN
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
MUN
1 - 3
HAN
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
BAY
2 - 3
MUN
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Waldhof Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
S04
1 - 0
WAL
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
AAA
2 - 1
WAL
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
WAL
2 - 1
FRE
53%
23%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
USO
1 - 1
WAL
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
WAL
0 - 1
OSN
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |