Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 10-0
1860 München vs Union Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1964 |
KSC
1 - 5
MUN
41%
23%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1964 |
ULU
0 - 4
MUN
28%
22%
50%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1964 |
MUN
0 - 1
EIN
50%
22%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1964 |
EBT
1 - 1
MUN
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1964 |
MUN
2 - 0
EIN
53%
20%
27%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Union Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1964 |
ULU
0 - 4
MUN
28%
22%
50%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
ULU
2 - 3
HSV
25%
18%
57%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
HSV
4 - 0
ULU
79%
11%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
ULU
0 - 6
ACM
29%
23%
48%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
ACM
8 - 0
ULU
85%
10%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |