1860 München vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
MUN
4 - 1
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1979 |
KOL
2 - 1
MUN
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
MUN
3 - 1
SAA
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
SGF
2 - 1
MUN
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
MUN
0 - 0
HOM
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
PRE
4 - 0
STP
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
STP
0 - 1
HAN
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1979 |
STP
0 - 0
WHE
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1979 |
RWL
1 - 3
STP
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
STP
2 - 1
ROT
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |