UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 6-3
1860 München vs Smederevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2001 |
MUN
0 - 1
COT
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
ROS
0 - 0
MUN
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
MUN
3 - 1
KOL
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
UNT
3 - 2
MUN
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
MUN
2 - 1
STU
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2001 |
SME
5 - 2
DUN
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
BEO
3 - 1
SME
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 0
SME
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
SUT
2 - 1
SME
56%
23%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
SME
1 - 0
VOJ
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |