Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 5-2
1860 München vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
STU
0 - 0
MUN
29%
24%
47%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
SER
1 - 1
MUN
33%
23%
45%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
HAN
0 - 1
MUN
30%
23%
46%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1966 |
BRE
4 - 0
MUN
47%
22%
31%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
MUN
1 - 1
FCN
62%
20%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
SER
1 - 1
MUN
33%
23%
45%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1965 |
SER
4 - 1
AIK
48%
20%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1965 |
AIK
2 - 1
SER
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
ATM
6 - 1
SER
78%
14%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
SER
2 - 2
ATM
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |