1860 München vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
MUN
1 - 3
BAY
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
MUN
2 - 0
SAA
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
EBT
2 - 1
MUN
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
MUN
1 - 1
BYM
34%
25%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
BRE
2 - 0
MUN
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
MSV
1 - 0
S04
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
S04
2 - 0
HER
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
MON
2 - 1
S04
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
S04
0 - 2
BVB
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
EBT
3 - 1
S04
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |