1860 München vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
EBT
2 - 1
MUN
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
MUN
1 - 1
BYM
34%
25%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
BRE
2 - 0
MUN
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
MUN
1 - 3
KOL
27%
25%
49%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
F95
2 - 0
MUN
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
SAA
1 - 2
MSV
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
HER
1 - 1
SAA
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
SAA
0 - 1
MON
22%
25%
54%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
RTV
4 - 2
SAA
59%
22%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
BVB
2 - 1
SAA
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |