1860 München vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1993 |
ROS
4 - 0
MUN
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1992 |
MUN
1 - 2
SGD
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
LOK
1 - 0
MUN
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
MUN
3 - 0
DAR
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1992 |
HAL
0 - 0
MUN
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1993 |
ROT
3 - 1
SAA
50%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1992 |
ROT
0 - 1
CHE
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1992 |
ROT
3 - 2
STA
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
ROT
2 - 0
S04
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1991 |
ROT
0 - 2
KSC
44%
24%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |