1860 München vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
MUN
9 - 2
HSV
19%
19%
63%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1964 |
FCN
2 - 2
MUN
76%
13%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1964 |
KAI
2 - 1
MUN
41%
22%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1964 |
KOL
2 - 2
MUN
71%
16%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +4 |
| 18 Jan. 1964 |
MUN
6 - 1
BVB
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
PRE
0 - 2
KOL
18%
22%
60%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1964 |
BVB
0 - 0
PRE
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1964 |
PRE
1 - 0
KAI
32%
24%
45%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1964 |
STU
0 - 3
PRE
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +3 |
| 08 Feb. 1964 |
PRE
0 - 1
FCN
15%
21%
65%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +2 |