1860 München vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MUN
2 - 2
HER
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AAA
2 - 0
MUN
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MUN
3 - 1
SGF
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
RWA
0 - 0
MUN
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
MUN
1 - 3
KSC
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
PAD
5 - 1
COT
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCU
5 - 4
PAD
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 0
KAI
36%
28%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
FSV
0 - 0
PAD
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
PAD
2 - 0
KSC
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |